La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Real Betis

Junior (9'), Rodrygo (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Canales (17')
Gonzalez (25')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on September 3, 2022

Real Madrid continue 100% start to the season with victory over Real Betis

Goals from Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo see Real Madrid extend their 100% start to the new season with a 2-1 victory over Real Betis at the Bernabeu.

Sep 3, 17:39

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	3	6	9
2	Real Betis	3	5	9
3	Barcelona	3	7	7

Real Betis

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna
Friday, August 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	3	6	9
2	Real Betis	3	5	9
3	Barcelona	3	7	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
62.37% ( 0.62)	21.21% ( -0.12)	16.42% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0.38)

45.62% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

-0.37)

67.94% (

0.37)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95% (

0.07)

14.04% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39% (

0.13)

41.61% (

-0.13)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.05% (

-0.86)

40.94% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49% (

-0.78)

77.5% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 62.36%

Real Betis 16.42%

Draw 21.2%

Real Madrid	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.36%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.2%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.42%