| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Almeria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Valencia | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 42.57% ( | 28.81% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.57% ( | 62.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( | 82.05% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( | 29.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( | 64.96% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( | 38.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( | 75.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 28.61% |