Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.