Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.