| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 21.57% ( | 27.51% ( | 50.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.58% ( | 62.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( | 82.04% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.12% ( | 44.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.16% ( | 80.83% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( | 24.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( | 59.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-1 @ 4.98% ( 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 3-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.57% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 15.52% ( 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 50.91% |