Club Friendlies 1
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-
Ebrahima Sidibeh
62'
-
Thomas Lemar
8'
-
Angel Correa
32'
-
Geoffrey Kondogbia
45'+1'
-
Matheus Cunha
52'
Numancia vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Numancia win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Numancia
22.93%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
25%
▼
(-0.13)
Atletico Madrid
52.07%
▲
(+0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
49.63%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.48%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
52.52%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
25.82%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
74.18%
▼
(-0.37)
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5
62.16%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
37.84%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
25.38%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
74.62%
▼
(-0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
79.84%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
20.16%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
47.55%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
52.45%
▼
(-0.39)
Score analysis
Numancia
22.93%
Draw
25%
Atletico Madrid
52.06%
Numancia
1-0
@
7.41%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.93%
2-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.87%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25%
0-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
12.21%
▼
(-0.12)
0-2 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.06%
0-2 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.06%