Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Numancia win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.