Segunda Division Gameweek 40
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
  • Alberto Noguera 16' yellowcard
  • Moha Sanhaji 43' yellowcard
  • Ivan Calero 70' yellowcard
  • Igor Zlatanovic 85' goal
  • yellowcard Fran Manzanara 63'
  • yellowcard Yuri de Souza 90'+3'

Numancia vs Ponferradina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Numancia

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jul 9, 2020 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 2 Numancia
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Curro

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jul 8, 2020 8.45pm
Ponferradina 0 - 1 Lugo
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 40.87%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 28.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Numancia in this match.

Result

Numancia 40.87%
Draw 30.17%
Ponferradina 28.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.49%

Goals

Over 2.5 33.52%
Under 2.5 66.48%
Over 3.5 15.09%
Under 3.5 84.91%

Numancia Goals

Over 0.5 67.92%
Under 0.5 32.07%
Over 1.5 31.45%
Under 1.5 68.55%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 59.62%
Under 0.5 40.38%
Over 1.5 23%
Under 1.5 77%

Score analysis

Numancia 40.87%
Draw 30.16%
Ponferradina 28.95%
Numancia
1-0 @ 14.72%
2-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 7.59%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 12.95%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.16%
Ponferradina
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 28.95%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)
  • Yuri de Souza 30' goal
  • Yuri de Souza 58' yellowcard
  • Pablo Larrea 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Gutierrez 62'
  • yellowcard Higinio Marin 67'
  • goal Higinio Marin 79'
  • yellowcard Kako Sanz 85'