Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Numancia

Suarez (25' pen.), de Frutos (45+4'), Villar (66' pen.)
Qasmi (28'), Comesana (57'), Martin (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marin (57'), Curro (72')
Moran (54'), Escassi (54'), Curro (90+5'), Nacho (90+5')
Marin (65')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Numancia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Numancia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Numancia
53.13%	26.5%	20.38%

Both teams to score 42.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.74%

60.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.57%

80.44%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11%

22.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36%

56.64%

Numancia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.1%

44.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.15%

80.86%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 53.12%

Numancia 20.38%

Draw 26.49%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Numancia
1-0 @ 15.15% 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 4.4% 4-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.56% Total : 53.12%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.38%