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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Shakhtar Donetsk

RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Shakhtar

Simakan (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shved (16', 58'), Mudryk (76'), Traore (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Shakhtar Donetsk

Last Six:
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-1 Shakhtar
Friday, September 2 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawShakhtar Donetsk
60.78% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.65% (0.035999999999998 0.04)14.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 37.55% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.71% (-0.136 -0.14)61.29% (0.138 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.79% (-0.101 -0.1)81.21% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)20.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)52.46% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.04% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)52.96% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)86.62% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 60.77%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 14.56%
    Draw 24.65%
RB LeipzigDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 17.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
2-0 @ 13.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 60.77%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 10.68% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.56%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar

RB Leipzig
72.4%
Draw
16.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
11.2%
214