Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Mohamed Simakan 57' goal
  • goal Maryan Shved 16'
  • goal Maryan Shved 58'
  • goal Mykhaylo Mudryk 76'
  • goal Lassina Traore 85'

RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 60.78% (-0.02)
Draw 24.65% (+0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk 14.56% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.55% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.71% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 61.29% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 18.79% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 81.21% (+0.11)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 79.83% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20.17% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 47.53% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 52.46% (+0.10)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 47.04% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 52.96% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 13.38% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 86.62% (+0.08)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 60.77%
Draw 24.65%
Shakhtar Donetsk 14.56%
RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 17.1% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 13.68% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 10.68% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.65%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 6.79% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.56%