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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
FC Koln

Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

We expect a comfortable victory on home soil for Leipzig, whose fans will be buoyed by the return of Werner following his £25m move from Chelsea. Koln are a massively improved outfit under Baumgart but they were helped by Schalke's early dismissal last weekend, with Leipzig likely to have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
43.93% (-0.129 -0.13) 23.66% (-0.041 -0.04) 32.41% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.56% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.26 0.26)40.27% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.36% (0.269 0.27)62.64% (-0.272 -0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.64% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.22500000000001 0.23)24.33% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.318 0.32)58.72% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 43.93%
    FC Koln 32.41%
    Draw 23.66%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
90.7%
Draw
4.0%
FC Koln
5.3%
75
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 1, 2020 7.30pm
FC Koln
2-4
RB Leipzig
Cordoba (7'), Modeste (55')
Leistner (30'), Drexler (62')
Schick (20'), Nkunku (38'), Werner (50'), Olmo (57')
Forsberg (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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