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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Schalke

FC Koln
3 - 1
Schalke

Kilian (49'), Kainz (62'), Ljubicic (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bulter (76')
Brunner (51')
Drexler (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Schalke 04

Putting five goals past a fifth-tier side is hardly a good indication as to how well Schalke will fare back in the Bundesliga, but Koln's confidence will have been rocked by their own DFB-Pokal exit. The injuries to Baumgart's attacking options are not letting up either, but we still have faith in a Modeste-led Billy Goats side to shade a close contest in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawSchalke 04
40.67% (3.302 3.3) 23.76% (0.07 0.07) 35.57% (-3.372 -3.37)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (-0.534 -0.53)39.88% (0.535 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (-0.558 -0.56)62.24% (0.558 0.56)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (1.332 1.33)19.9% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (2.106 2.11)52.03% (-2.107 -2.11)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-1.919 -1.92)22.39% (1.919 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1% (-2.957 -2.96)55.89% (2.956 2.96)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 40.67%
    Schalke 04 35.57%
    Draw 23.76%
FC KolnDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.413 0.41)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.458 0.46)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.588 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.4 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.43 0.43)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.231 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.217 0.22)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Schalke

FC Koln
61.3%
Draw
13.3%
Schalke 04
25.3%
75
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 5.30pm
Schalke
1-2
FC Koln
Hoppe (57')
Stambouli (49'), Boujellab (89')
Czichos (31'), Thielmann (90+3')
Horn (89')
Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
FC Koln
3-0
Schalke
Bornauw (9'), Cordoba (39'), Nubel (75' og.)
Cordoba (38')

Schopf (66'), Burgstaller (80')
Oct 5, 2019 5.30pm
Schalke
1-1
FC Koln
Serdar (72')
Kenny (20'), Serdar (35'), Sane (45'), Oczipka (64')
Hector (91')
Katterbach (22'), Ehizibue (40'), Terodde (67'), Modeste (93')
Oct 31, 2018 5.30pm
FC Koln
1-1
Schalke
Schalke win 6-5 on penalties
Cordoba (43')
Ozcan (61'), Schaub (83')
Bentaleb (88' pen.)
Schopf (51'), Uth (63'), Bentaleb (83'), Burgstaller (100'), Nastasic (110')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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