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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Schalke 04 |
40.67% ( 3.3) | 23.76% ( 0.07) | 35.57% ( -3.37) |
Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% ( -0.53) | 39.88% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% ( -0.56) | 62.24% ( 0.56) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% ( 1.33) | 19.9% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.97% ( 2.11) | 52.03% ( -2.11) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.61% ( -1.92) | 22.39% ( 1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.1% ( -2.96) | 55.89% ( 2.96) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.12% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.42) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.4) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.27) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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