DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 12.01pm UK
Stadion am Panzenberg
Schalke

Bremer SV
0 - 5
Schalke

FT(HT: 0-4)
Zalazar (2'), Drexler (12', 33'), Kmiec (39' og.), Kaminski (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bremer SV and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bremer SV 0-12 Bayern
Wednesday, August 25 at 7.15pm in DFB-Pokal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Bremer SV had a probability of 13.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a Bremer SV win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Bremer SVDrawSchalke 04
13.33% (-0.138 -0.14)15.42% (-0.177 -0.18)71.25% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 64.85% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.79% (0.58500000000001 0.59)24.2% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.13% (0.774 0.77)43.87% (-0.781 -0.78)
Bremer SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.255 0.25)30.94% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.3 0.3)67.24% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.92% (0.18400000000001 0.18)6.08% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.9% (0.52800000000001 0.53)23.1% (-0.537 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Bremer SV 13.33%
    Schalke 04 71.25%
    Draw 15.42%
Bremer SVDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 3.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 2.21% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 13.33%
1-1 @ 6.18% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.88% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 15.42%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 8.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 6.89% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.65% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-4 @ 4.82% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.74% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 3.32% (0.064 0.06)
1-5 @ 3.17% (0.074 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.7% (0.044 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.86% (0.056 0.06)
1-6 @ 1.48% (0.05 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.3% (0.035 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.26% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 71.25%

How you voted: Bremer SV vs Schalke

Bremer SV
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Schalke 04
87.5%
8