Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.