Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.