MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 18:45:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side. Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
64.85% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.4% (-0.131 -0.13) 15.74% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.199 -0.2)38.73% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)61.04% (0.205 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.2% (0.178 0.18)35.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-0.618 -0.62)37.59% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-0.612 -0.61)74.37% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.85%
    Wolfsburg 15.74%
    Draw 19.4%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.74%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
89.5%
Draw
8.8%
Wolfsburg
1.8%
57
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Weghorst (22'), Steffen (35')
Otavio (48'), Mbabu (50'), Weghorst (59'), Lacroix (81')
Mukiele (5'), Orban (54')
Mukiele (42'), Kampl (71'), Angelino (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Wolfsburg146353125621
8Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
10Stuttgart135532623320
11Werder Bremen135442024-419
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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