Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.