MX23RW : Tuesday, August 16 07:30:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Werder Bremen

We do not expect to see a classic between these sides on Saturday, with Wolfsburg settling into life under a new manager and Werder re-establishing themselves at this level. As such, a share of the spoils feels likely, with both managers potentially content to stay unbeaten ahead of a long campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
33.44% (-0.359 -0.36) 23.68% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 42.88% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.9% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.403 -0.4)39.99% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65% (-0.418 -0.42)62.35% (0.413 0.41)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)23.6% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.566 -0.57)57.67% (0.56 0.56)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)18.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)50.51% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 33.44%
    Werder Bremen 42.88%
    Draw 23.67%
WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 42.88%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen

Wolfsburg
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Werder Bremen
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Wolfsburg
Mohwald (45')
Sargent (57'), Fullkrug (90+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')
Sargent (9' og.), Weghorst (42')
Schlager (81')
Nov 27, 2020 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
5-3
Werder Bremen
Baku (22'), Brooks (25'), Weghorst (37', 76'), Bialek (90+5')
Lacroix (73'), Arnold (81')
Bittencourt (13'), Mohwald (36'), Brooks (47' og.)
Mbom (24'), Mohwald (57')
Mohwald (80')
Jun 7, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 1, 2019 5pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Werder Bremen
Weghorst (36'), William (73'), Rashica (83')
Arnold (91')
Rashica (13' pen.), Bittencourt (39')
Gross (60'), Osako (68'), Rashica (81'), Veljkovic (95')
rhs 2.0
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