Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 78.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.