Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 78.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Energie Cottbus	Draw	Werder Bremen
8.74% ( 0.02)	13.2% ( 0.12)	78.05% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.21% (

-0.63)

26.78% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.78% (

-0.8)

47.21% (

0.79)

Energie Cottbus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

-0.45)

40.46% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

-0.41)

77.07% (

0.4)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.5% (

-0.16)

5.49% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.57% (

-0.44)

21.43% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Energie Cottbus 8.74%

Werder Bremen 78.05%

Draw 13.21%

Energie Cottbus	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 8.74%	1-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.21%	0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 5.31% Total : 78.05%