Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
4 - 1
Werder Bremen

Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
62.66%	20.32%	17.02%

Both teams to score 55.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07%

62.93%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63%

12.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.78%

38.22%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86%

37.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07%

73.93%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 62.66%

Werder Bremen 17.02%

Draw 20.32%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 6.92% 4-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.66%	1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.32%	1-2 @ 4.71% 0-1 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.02%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund

84.4%

Draw

8.9%

Werder Bremen

6.7%