/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwollog.png)
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Lucas Hernandez
15'
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Sven Ulreich
23'
-
Jamal Musiala
33'
-
Thomas Muller
44'
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Mattias Svanberg
52'
Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F31%2Fsadio-mane.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 3-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
76.94%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
13.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Wolfsburg
9.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
61.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
77.37%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
22.62%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
58.25%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
41.74%
▼
(-0.12)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
95.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
4.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
80.55%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
19.45%
▼
(-0.09)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5
65.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
34.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
28.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
71.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
76.94%
Draw
13.2%
Wolfsburg
9.86%
Bayern Munich
3-1
@
8.23%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1% ▼ (-98.90)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 76.94%
2-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1% ▼ (-98.90)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 76.94%
Draw
1-1
@
5.37%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 13.2%
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 13.2%
Wolfsburg
1-2
@
2.82%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 9.86%
0-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 9.86%
