MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 14:58:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Svanberg (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Wolfsburg

With Nagelsmann's attacking players in exceptional form at present, we cannot see beyond a resounding Bayern victory on Sunday. Only a Neuer mistake prevented the Bavarians from keeping a clean sheet away to Frankfurt last week, so we expect them to achieve that on home soil this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 3-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
76.94% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 13.2% (-0.036 -0.04) 9.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.37% (0.084000000000003 0.08)22.62% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.25% (0.115 0.12)41.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.17% (0.025000000000006 0.03)4.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.55% (0.082999999999998 0.08)19.45% (-0.084 -0.08)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)34.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 76.94%
    Wolfsburg 9.86%
    Draw 13.2%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-1 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.24% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-1 @ 3.78% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.6% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-2 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 76.94%
1-1 @ 5.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 13.2%
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
0-2 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.86%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
88.2%
Draw
4.7%
Wolfsburg
7.1%
85
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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