La Liga Gameweek 6
Atletico
Sep 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Mario Hermoso 83' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 18'
  • goal Federico Valverde 36'

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 10, 2022 8.00pm
Atletico 4 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2022 1.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 27.75% ▲ (+2.56)
Draw 25.81% ▲ (+0.50)
Real Madrid 46.45% ▼ (-3.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.65% ▲ (+0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.95% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 52.05% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 26.22% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 73.78% ▲ (+0.20)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 66.55% ▲ (+1.97)
Under 0.5 33.45% ▼ (-1.97)
Over 1.5 29.92% ▲ (+2.10)
Under 1.5 70.08% ▼ (-2.10)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 0.5 22.39% ▲ (+1.44)
Over 1.5 44.1% ▼ (-2.19)
Under 1.5 55.9% ▲ (+2.20)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 27.75%
Draw 25.81%
Real Madrid 46.44%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.81%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.40)
1-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.54)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.20)
0-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 46.44%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 35
Atletico
May 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Marcos Llorente 37' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 40' goal
  • Stefan Savic 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 20'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 28'
  • yellowcard Jesus Vallejo 38'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 67'
  • yellowcard Nacho 71'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
Dec 12, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Atletico
  • Karim Benzema 16' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 57' goal
  • David Alaba 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe 36'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Atletico
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Luis Suarez 15' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 64' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 72' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 80' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 90' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 67'
  • goal Karim Benzema 88'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
Dec 12, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Atletico
  • Casemiro 15' goal
  • Casemiro 36' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 63' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 50'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 61'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Real Madrid
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Karim Benzema 56' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 83' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dario Poveda 40'
  • yellowcard Felipe 66'
  • yellowcard Sime Vrsaljko 80'
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 12, 2020 6.00pm
0
0
ET King Abdullah Sports City
Atletico
  • Ferland Mendy 90' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 90' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 111' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 115' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 115' redcard
  • yellowcard Felipe 27'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 74'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 111'
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 115'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 115'

Form Data

B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 4 - 1 Celta Vigo
Atletico 2 - 1 Porto
Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico
Valencia 0 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 2 Villarreal
Real Madrid 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Mallorca
Celtic 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Betis
Espanyol 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 1 - 4 Real Madrid

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