La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Hermoso (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rodrygo (18'), Valverde (36')

Reaction

Atletico Madrid goalkeeper Jan Oblak on September 18, 2022

Jan Oblak: 'Injuries are harming Atletico Madrid'

Atletico Madrid goalkeeper Jan Oblak says that the team's ongoing injury issues are contributing to their problems.

Sep 19, 20:24

Real Madrid's Rodrygo scores against Atletico Madrid on September 18, 2022

Carlo Ancelotti lavishes praise on "very special" Rodrygo, Federico Valverde

Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti praises Rodrygo and Federico Valverde for their performances against Atletico Madrid.

Sep 19, 20:21

Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring against Atletico Madrid on September 18, 2022

Real Madrid make best start to a season since 1968

Real Madrid win their first nine games of a season for the first time in 54 years after beating locals rivals Atletico Madrid 2-1 in Sunday's La Liga derby.

Sep 18, 22:59

Real Madrid extend 100% winning record with victory over Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid make it nine straight wins at the start of the 2022-23 campaign with a 2-1 success over Atletico Madrid in La Liga.

Sep 18, 20:56

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Atletico
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Villarreal	5	8	10
7	Atletico Madrid	5	5	10
8	Valencia	6	5	9

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Barcelona	6	17	16
2	Real Madrid	5	10	15
3	Athletic Bilbao	6	8	13

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Madrid
27.75% ( 2.55)	25.81% ( 0.49)	46.45% ( -3.04)

Both teams to score 51.65% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.95% (

-0.23)

52.05% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.22% (

-0.2)

73.78% (

0.2)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

1.97)

33.45% (

-1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

2.1)

70.08% (

-2.1)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-1.43)

22.39% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

-2.19)

55.9% (

2.19)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 27.75%

Real Madrid 46.44%

Draw 25.81%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.75%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.54) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.44%