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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad have found it difficult against Atletico in their recent meetings, and we are struggling to back the hosts with any real confidence here. Atletico were strong in their last game against Valencia and should have enough to pick up another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
34.49% (0.503 0.5) 29.51% (0.173 0.17) 36% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)63.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15% (-0.389 -0.39)82.85% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.058000000000007 0.06)34.59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.061 0.06)71.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.72099999999999 -0.72)33.57% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.795 -0.8)70.22% (0.79499999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.48%
    Atletico Madrid 36%
    Draw 29.5%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
18.5%
Draw
19.3%
Atletico Madrid
62.2%
135
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe173771114-316
16AlavesAlaves174491928-916
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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