La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Osasuna	3	2	6
9	Real Sociedad	3	-1	6
10	Mallorca	3	1	4

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Atletico
Monday, August 29 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Celta Vigo	4	1	7
7	Atletico Madrid	3	2	6
8	Osasuna	3	2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
34.49% ( 0.5)	29.51% ( 0.17)	36% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 43.45% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.46% (

-0.54)

63.54% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.15% (

-0.39)

82.85% (

0.39)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

0.06)

34.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

0.06)

71.32% (

-0.06)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.72)

33.57% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.8)

70.22% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 34.48%

Atletico Madrid 36%

Draw 29.5%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.5%	0-1 @ 12.67% 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36%