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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal logo

Atletico
0 - 2
Villarreal


Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
45.05% (-0.061 -0.06)27.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.23% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (-0.023 -0.02)80.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)26.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)61.94% (0.058 0.06)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)38.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (0.02 0.02)75.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 45.05%
    Villarreal 27.02%
    Draw 27.92%
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Atletico vs Villarreal

Atletico Madrid
72.8%
Draw
21.3%
Villarreal
5.9%
136
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Villarreal
0-2
Atletico

Costa (32'), Albiol (51')
Pedraza (25' og.), Felix (69')
Felipe (35'), Lemar (45+5'), Niguez (47')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Feb 23, 2020 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Correa (40'), Koke (64'), Felix (74')
Niguez (61'), Felix (90')
Alcacer (16')
Pena (25')
rhs 2.0


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