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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal logo

Atletico
0 - 2
Villarreal


Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

Despite both meetings ending as 2-2 draws last season, we expect Atletico to record a victory this time around. The hosts should be fresher after Villarreal played in midweek, and we expect this to pay dividends, particularly later in the match with Simeone having so many excellent attacking options to call upon from the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
45.05% (-0.061 -0.06) 27.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.23% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (-0.023 -0.02)80.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)26.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)61.94% (0.058 0.06)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)38.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (0.02 0.02)75.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 45.05%
    Villarreal 27.02%
    Draw 27.92%
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Atletico vs Villarreal

Atletico Madrid
72.8%
Draw
21.3%
Villarreal
5.9%
136
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Villarreal
0-2
Atletico

Costa (32'), Albiol (51')
Pedraza (25' og.), Felix (69')
Felipe (35'), Lemar (45+5'), Niguez (47')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Feb 23, 2020 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Correa (40'), Koke (64'), Felix (74')
Niguez (61'), Felix (90')
Alcacer (16')
Pena (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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