Club Friendlies 1
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Niklas Sule
74'
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Gerard Moreno
45'+1'
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Samuel Chukwueze
68'
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.33%) and 3-1 (5.26%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
42.82%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
21.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Villarreal
35.2%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
68.96%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.01%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
30.99%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
47.62%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
52.38%
▲
(+0.25)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
84.64%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
15.36%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
55.87%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
44.13%
▲
(+0.11)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5
81.47%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
18.52%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
50.24%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
49.75%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
42.82%
Draw
21.98%
Villarreal
35.2%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
8.42%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 42.82%
1-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 42.82%
Draw
1-1
@
8.99%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.98%
2-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.98%
Villarreal
1-2
@
7.58%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 35.2%
0-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 35.2%