Friendlies
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
SPORTCLUB Arena
Dortmund logo

Verl
0 - 5
Dortmund


Burger (17'), Stellwagen (36')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Pohlmann (16'), Moukoko (28', 42'), Dahoud (37'), Aning (54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's pre-season friendly clash between SC Verl and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Verl 0-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 5 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for SC Verl had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a SC Verl win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
SC VerlDrawBorussia Dortmund
13.23% (0.032 0.03)17.38% (0.02 0.02)69.39% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.65% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
SC Verl Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (0.047999999999995 0.05)38.37% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.044 0.04)75.13% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.01% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)30.69% (0.029 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SC Verl 13.23%
    Borussia Dortmund 69.38%
    Draw 17.38%
SC VerlDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 13.23%
1-1 @ 7.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.38%
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 2.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.07%
0-6 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 69.38%

How you voted: Verl vs Dortmund

SC Verl
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Borussia Dortmund
100%
18
rhs 2.0


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