Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
26.23% ( 0.04)	23.7% ( 0.01)	50.07% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84% (

-0.01)

44.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46% (

-0.01)

66.54% (

0.01)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

0.03)

30.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33% (

0.03)

66.67% (

-0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0.02)

17.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.04)

48.39% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Dresden 26.23%

Borussia Dortmund 50.07%

Draw 23.7%

Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.23%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.07%