Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.