Dortmund logo
Friendlies
Jul 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Valencia logo

Dortmund
1 - 3
Valencia

Reus (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guedes (40', 62'), Maranhao (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's pre-season clash between Borussia Dortmund and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawValencia
61.89% (-0.424 -0.42)19.66% (0.113 0.11)18.45% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.108 -0.11)10.87% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)34.98% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.32299999999999 0.32)32.12% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (0.366 0.37)68.59% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.9%
    Valencia 18.45%
    Draw 19.66%
Borussia DortmundDrawValencia
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 61.9%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 5% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 18.45%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Valencia

Borussia Dortmund
85.1%
Draw
10.6%
Valencia
4.3%
47
rhs 2.0


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