| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Sevilla | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 40.66% ( | 24.79% ( | 34.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( | 44.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( | 55.44% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( | 25.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( | 60.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.55% |