Southampton logo
Friendlies
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Villarreal logo

1-2

Aribo (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pino (14'), Moreno (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's pre-season friendly between Southampton and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for has a probability of 28.18% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest win is 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result
Draw
28.18% (0.337 0.34)27.42% (0.064 0.06)44.4% (-0.41 -0.41)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.07 -0.07)57.92% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)78.62% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.235 0.23)36.24% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (0.239 0.24)73.02% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.241 -0.24)25.95% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (-0.32 -0.32)60.96% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    28.18%
    44.39%
    Draw 27.41%
Draw
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.54% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.18%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 12.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 44.39%

How you voted: Southampton vs Monaco

Southampton
42.9%
Draw
11.9%
Monaco
45.2%
42