Conference League
Aug 18, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 4 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
  • Jose Luis Morales 14' goal
  • Marko Livaja 19' goal
  • Alex Baena 32' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Morales 36' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 45'+1' goal
  • Aissa Mandi 82' yellowcard
  • goal Stipe Biuk 2'
  • yellowcard Marko Livaja 13'
  • yellowcard Emir Sahiti 35'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 72'
  • goal Marco Fossati 85'
  • yellowcard Gergo Lovrencsics 90'+4'

Villarreal vs Hajduk Split - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 59.6% (+0.15)
Draw 25.1% (+0.06)
Hajduk Split 15.31% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.97% (-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.38% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 61.62% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 18.54% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 81.46% (+0.35)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 79.23% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 20.77% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 46.59% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 53.41% (+0.21)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 47.93% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 52.07% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 13.95% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 86.05% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Villarreal 59.58%
Draw 25.09%
Hajduk Split 15.31%
Villarreal
1-0 @ 16.99% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 13.35% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 10.81% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 2.84% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 25.09%
Hajduk Split
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.31%