Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Hajduk Split
59.6% ( 0.15)	25.1% ( 0.06)	15.31% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 37.97% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.38% (

-0.46)

61.62% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.54% (

-0.34)

81.46% (

0.34)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

-0.13)

20.77% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59% (

-0.2)

53.41% (

0.2)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.93% (

-0.58)

52.07% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.95% (

-0.38)

86.05% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 59.58%

Hajduk Split 15.31%

Draw 25.09%

Villarreal	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 16.99% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.58%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.35% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.31%