Conference League
Aug 4, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Filip Krovinovic 23' yellowcard
  • Emir Sahiti 67' goal
  • Dario Melnjak 75' goal
  • Filip Krovinovic 87' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 12'
  • goal Maga 61'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 72'

Hajduk Split vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

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Vitoria de Guimaraes

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Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result

Hajduk Split 43.89% (+0.06)
Draw 28.33% (+0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 27.78% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.53% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.79% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 61.21% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 18.85% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 81.15% (+0.13)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 72.25% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 27.75% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 63.33% (+0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 61.63% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 38.37% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 24.88% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 75.12% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 43.88%
Draw 28.32%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 27.78%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 13.64% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.75% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.64% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.32%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 10.2% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 27.78%