Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Puskas Academy win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Puskas Academy
50.52% ( -0)	22.72% ( 0)	26.77% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

-0.03)

39.2% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

-0.03)

61.53% (

0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28% (

-0.01)

15.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.2% (

-0.02)

44.8% (

0.03)

Puskas Academy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

-0.01)

27.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

-0.02)

62.95% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.52%

Puskas Academy 26.77%

Draw 22.72%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Puskas Academy
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.77%