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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 0
Puskas Academy

Lameiras (4'), Silva (39'), Silva (65')
Silva (90+2'), Silva (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

van Nieff (48'), Stronati (68')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Puskas Academy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:
    Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Gil Vicente
    Sunday, May 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

    Puskas Academy

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Puskas Academy 0-2 RFS
      Thursday, July 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Puskas Academy win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

      Result
      Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPuskas Academy
      50.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.72% (0.004999999999999 0) 26.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
      Both teams to score 61.14% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      60.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      38.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)61.53% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
      Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      84.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.72% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      55.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)44.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
      Puskas Academy Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      72.54% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)27.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      37.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
      Score Analysis
          Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.52%
          Puskas Academy 26.77%
          Draw 22.72%
      Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPuskas Academy
      2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)
      1-0 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
      2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
      3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-0 @ 4.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
      5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 3.74%
      Total : 50.52%
      		1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-0 @ 4.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
      3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 0.27%
      Total : 22.72%
      		1-2 @ 6.67%
      0-1 @ 5.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      0-2 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
      0-3 @ 1.55%
      1-4 @ 0.93%
      Other @ 2.9%
      Total : 26.77%

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