Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Hajduk Split
47.26% ( -0.01)	23.13% ( -0)	29.61% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.94% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88% (

39.12% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55% (

61.45% (

-0)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0)

16.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1% (

-0.01)

46.9% (

0.01)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.01)

25.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.01)

60.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.26%

Hajduk Split 29.61%

Draw 23.13%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Hajduk Split
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.23% Total : 47.26%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.61%