Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes1 - 0Hajduk Split
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-2 Hajduk Split
With Guimaraes needing to chase a two-goal deficit, we can envisage an open encounter in Portugal on Wednesday. It would be no surprise to see the hosts claw a goal back, with Hajduk Split potentially having to hold their nerve before effectively ending the tie late in the match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Hajduk Split |
47.26% ( -0.01) | 23.13% ( -0) | 29.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
