Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Pedro Fortes Bachiessa (16'), Monte (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (45+3')
Villanueva (16'), Maga (18'), Bamba (23'), Sa (46'), Amaro (54'), Silva (82'), Varela (83'), Salgueiro Pains (90')
Semedo (82'), Salgueiro Pains (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

Last Six:

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Casa Pia	0	0	0
8	Chaves	0	0	0
9	Gil Vicente	0	0	0

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:

Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Sporting Lisbon	0	0	0
14	Vitoria de Guimaraes	0	0	0
15	Rio Ave	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
32.17% ( -0.33)	28.15% ( -0.01)	39.69% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.82% (

-0.04)

59.18% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39% (

-0.03)

79.61% (

0.03)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

-0.25)

33.91% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

-0.27)

70.58% (

0.27)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

0.17)

29.1% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

0.22)

65.02% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Chaves 32.16%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.69%

Draw 28.14%

Chaves	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.16%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.69%