| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 29.04% ( | 28.77% ( | 42.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.84% ( | 62.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.14% ( | 81.85% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( | 37.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( | 74.65% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( | 29.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( | 65.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.03% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.19% |