Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.