La Liga Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Luis Hernandez 27'
  • goal Anthony Lozano 76'

Alaves vs Cadiz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Levante 3 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Joselu

Cadiz

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Cadiz 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alvaro Negredo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.

Result

Alaves 44.44% (-0.18)
Draw 26.62% (+0.04)
Cadiz 28.93% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.96% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.39% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 54.61% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.05% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.95% (+0.08)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 75.56% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.44% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 41.12% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 58.88% (+0.18)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5 66.12% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.88% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.45% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.55% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Alaves 44.44%
Draw 26.61%
Cadiz 28.93%
Alaves
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 44.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.61%
Cadiz
0-1 @ 8.96% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.83% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.93%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Joselu 6'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 27'
  • yellowcard Ximo Navarro 67'
  • goal Joselu 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 13, 2021 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joselu 36' goal
  • Tomas Pina 70' yellowcard
  • Manu Garcia 80' yellowcard
  • Manu Garcia 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Salvi 34'
  • yellowcard Alberto Perea 41'
  • yellowcard Fali 74'
  • goal Alex 84'
  • yellowcard Ivan Saponjic 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2021 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alex 15' goal
  • Fali 22' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lozano 56' goal
  • Alvaro Negredo 68' goal
  • Alberto Perea 82' yellowcard
  • goal Joselu 23'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pina 40'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 44'
  • yellowcard Tachi 45'+2'
  • redcard Tachi 50'