| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
| 44.44% ( | 26.62% ( | 28.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.39% ( | 54.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.05% ( | 75.95% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( | 24.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( | 33.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( | 70.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.93% |