Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.