Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.