La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
0 - 1
Real Sociedad

Gumbau (10'), Morente (30'), Mojica (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mendez (20')
Merino (45+2'), Zubeldia (49'), Karrika (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Almeria
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Espanyol	2	-2	1
17	Elche	2	-3	1
18	Real Valladolid	2	-3	1

Real Sociedad

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, August 21 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Valencia	2	0	3
12	Real Sociedad	2	-2	3
13	Almeria	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Sociedad
29.29% ( -0.62)	27.98%	42.72% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 46.25% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57% (

-0.21)

59.43% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2% (

-0.17)

79.8% (

0.17)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82% (

-0.59)

36.18% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.04% (

-0.61)

72.96% (

0.61)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

0.23)

27.53% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96% (

0.3)

63.04% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Elche 29.29%

Real Sociedad 42.72%

Draw 27.98%

Elche	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 29.29%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.72%