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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid

If their opening double-header is anything to go by, these two clubs could be unpredictable as the season progresses. Valencia will fancy their chances of causing the upset in this fixture, but we cannot go against Atletico at this stage with Simeone's men possibly coming through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.48% (-0.448 -0.45) 26.62% (-0.304 -0.3) 49.9% (0.752 0.75)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.721 0.72)57.99% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.564 0.56)78.68% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (0.658 0.66)23.34% (-0.66 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.948 0.95)57.31% (-0.951 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 23.48%
    Atletico Madrid 49.89%
    Draw 26.61%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.98% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
10.3%
Draw
25.6%
Atletico Madrid
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Cunha (64'), Correa (90+1'), Hermoso (90+3')
Koke (27'), Hermoso (37'), Suarez (82'), Herrera (84'), Gimenez (90+3')
Musah (25'), Duro (44')
Correia (14'), Foulquier (37'), Musah (43'), Guillamon (61'), Lato (65'), Domenech (83')
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
3-3
Atletico
Savic (50' og.), Duro (90+2', 90+6')
Guillamon (76'), Musah (90+4')
Suarez (35'), Griezmann (58'), Vrsaljko (62')
Carrasco (90'), Griezmann (90+5')
Jan 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Valencia
Felix (23'), Suarez (54'), Correa (72')
Vrsaljko (30'), Savic (76')
Racic (11')
Nov 28, 2020 3.15pm
Valencia
0-1
Atletico

Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12pm
Fritz
Rublev
7pm
Auger-Aliassime
Lehecka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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