Leverkusen logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Atletico Madrid logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Atletico

Andrich (84'), Diaby (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtletico Madrid
24.44% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.6% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)42.4% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)64.8% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)30.95% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.07 -0.07)67.24% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.14% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (0.011999999999993 0.01)45.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 24.44%
    Atletico Madrid 52.6%
    Draw 22.95%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.44%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 5.05% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.6%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Atletico

Bayer Leverkusen
10.9%
Draw
13.8%
Atletico Madrid
75.4%
341
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2019 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Atletico
Bellarabi (48'), Savic (68' og.)
Henrichs (15'), Dragovic (58'), Wendell (64'), Aranguiz (74')
Niguez (17'), Griezmann (25'), Gameiro (58' pen.), Torres (86')
Torres (88'), Gabi (89'), Luis (90')
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
Atletico
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Atletico win 3-2 on penalties
rhs 2.0


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