Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, July 30 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0
4	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0
5	Borussia Monchengladbach	0	0	0

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Augsburg	0	0	0
3	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0
4	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
45.96% ( 1.28)	21.44% ( -0.3)	32.6% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 70.11% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.86% (

1.15)

29.14% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.86% (

1.39)

50.14% (

-1.39)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46% (

0.87)

13.54% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.39% (

1.72)

40.61% (

-1.72)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

0.06)

18.91% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6% (

0.1)

50.4% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 45.96%

Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%

Draw 21.44%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.07% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 32.6%