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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leverkusen logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

We expect to see a highly entertaining, high-scoring affair between two attacking teams on Saturday. Both meetings saw seven goals scored at either end last season, but we expect the hosts to just edge it having looked more ready for the new season in the DFB-Pokal last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
45.96% (1.282 1.28) 21.44% (-0.303 -0.3) 32.6% (-0.979 -0.98)
Both teams to score 70.11% (0.762 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.86% (1.146 1.15)29.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.86% (1.389 1.39)50.14% (-1.389 -1.39)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (0.87299999999999 0.87)13.54% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.39% (1.717 1.72)40.61% (-1.717 -1.72)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)18.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (0.103 0.1)50.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 45.96%
    Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
    Draw 21.44%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.176 0.18)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.101 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.31% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.103 0.1)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-2 @ 7.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.63% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Dortmund
75.5%
Draw
12.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
11.8%
102
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-5
B. Leverkusen
Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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