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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Leverkusen logo

Mainz 05
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Burgzorg (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Palacios (29'), Frimpong (39', 41')
Hincapie (3'), Andrich (45'), Frimpong (60'), Bakker (76')
Hincapie (77'), Bakker (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen

 The visitors might be a team that a lot of fans have high expectations of this season, but so far it has been a tough campaign for Bayer Leverkusen, and they head into this one with low confidence. That is the opposite for Mainz, particularly when it comes to games at home, which is why they will walk into this one as the firm favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
36.34% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.66% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 37.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09)48.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)70.81% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.031999999999996 0.03)26.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.044000000000004 0.04)61.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.060000000000002 0.06)25.12% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.084999999999994 0.08)59.82% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 36.34%
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.99%
    Draw 25.66%
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.99%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs B. Leverkusen

Mainz 05
68.3%
Draw
14.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
17.5%
63
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mainz 05
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Caricol (57'), Boetius (84'), Ingvartsen (88')
Caricol (66'), Ingvartsen (90+5')
Schick (35'), Alario (74')
Adli (31'), Demirbay (56')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz 05
Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Mainz 05
Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz 05
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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