Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Burgzorg (70')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Palacios (29'), Frimpong (39', 41')
Hincapie (3'), Andrich (45'), Frimpong (60'), Bakker (76')
Hincapie (77'), Bakker (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Union Berlin	3	3	7
5	Mainz 05	3	2	7
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	6

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	3	-3	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	3	-5	0
18	VfL Bochum	4	-10	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
36.34% ( -0.02)	25.66% ( -0.02)	37.99% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

0.09)

48.7% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

0.08)

70.81% (

-0.08)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

0.03)

26.04% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

0.04)

61.07% (

-0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

0.06)

25.12% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

0.08)

59.82% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 36.34%

Bayer Leverkusen 37.99%

Draw 25.66%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.99%