MX23RW : Saturday, August 20 05:32:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Mainz 05
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05

After suffering two defeats in Bochum last season, Mainz should be steeled for the challenge ahead, and having conceded only once throughout pre-season and last week's cup win, they can take a point home from their opening fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
43.51% (0.369 0.37) 25.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.23% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.111 -0.11)48.04% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.102 -0.1)70.21% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.127 0.13)22.05% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.189 0.19)55.38% (-0.186 -0.19)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.295 -0.3)28.87% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.366 -0.37)64.74% (0.367 0.37)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.51%
    Mainz 05 31.23%
    Draw 25.25%
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.23%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Mainz 05

VfL Bochum
38.5%
Draw
38.5%
Mainz 05
23.1%
39
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz 05
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
2-0
Mainz 05
Holtmann (21'), Polter (56')
Rexhbecaj (54'), Riemann (87'), Asano (90+3'), Zoller (90+4')

Boetius (56'), Barreiro (67'), Kohr (89')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Mainz 05
2-2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum win 3-0 on penalties
Boetius (7'), Latza (55')
Mateta (90+4'), Ji (100')
Holtmann (66'), Tesche (90+4')
Gamboa (2'), Leitsch (32'), Blum (75')
Riemann (95')
rhs 2.0
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