Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

Last Six:

Last Game: Viktoria Berlin 0-3 VfL Bochum
Saturday, July 30 at 12.01pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Union Berlin	0	0	0
15	VfL Bochum	0	0	0
16	Werder Bremen	0	0	0

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Mainz 05
Sunday, July 31 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hoffenheim	0	0	0
10	Mainz 05	0	0	0
11	RB Leipzig	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
43.51% ( 0.37)	25.26% ( -0.01)	31.23% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0.11)

48.04% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-0.1)

70.21% (

0.1)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

0.13)

22.05% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.19)

55.38% (

-0.19)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

-0.3)

28.87% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.37)

64.74% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 43.51%

Mainz 05 31.23%

Draw 25.25%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.51%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.23%