Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Mainz 05
50.35% ( -0.71)	23.95% ( 0.11)	25.7% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.28% (

0.05)

45.71% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.96% (

0.04)

68.03% (

-0.05)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

-0.26)

18.2% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.78% (

-0.44)

49.22% (

0.44)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

0.51)

31.71% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

0.59)

68.13% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 50.35%

Mainz 05 25.7%

Draw 23.95%

Besiktas	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.35%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.7%