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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Union Berlin logo

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Union Berlin


Onisiwo (5')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin

Both sides have considerably punched above their weight in recent times, and we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. It could be an interesting tactical battle with both managers lining their sides up in similar formations and preferring to counter rather than control, with the visitors perhaps having the edge in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawUnion Berlin
35.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.75%38.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.66% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (0.004999999999999 0)74.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.16%
    Union Berlin 38.08%
    Draw 26.74%
Mainz 05DrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.08%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

Mainz 05
46.5%
Draw
25.6%
Union Berlin
27.9%
86
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
3-1
Mainz 05
Haraguchi (8'), Becker (56'), Awoniyi (75')
Trimmel (42'), Jaeckel (67'), Baumgartl (90+2'), Khedira (90+2')
Burgzorg (90')
Svensson (12'), Hack (18'), Kohr (58'), Stoger (90+2')
Kohr (60')
Oct 3, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-2
Union Berlin
Ingvartsen (39')
Kohr (75')
Kohr (90+2')
Awoniyi (69', 73')
Haraguchi (45+2'), Knoche (65'), Promel (79'), Kruse (82')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
Union Berlin
Niakhate (22' pen.)
Kohr (28'), Barreiro (40')

Schlotterbeck (21'), Teuchert (33'), Knoche (60'), Trimmel (67')
Schlotterbeck (55')
Oct 2, 2020 7.30pm
Union Berlin
4-0
Mainz 05
Kruse (13'), Ingvartsen (49'), Friedrich (63'), Pohjanpalo (64')
Trimmel (33')

Mateta (53'), Latza (59'), Boetius (67'), St Juste (78')
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Mainz 05
Ingvartsen (33')
Andrich (20'), Schlotterbeck (78'), Friedrich (90+2')
Andrich (42')
Baku (13')
Boetius (78'), Latza (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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