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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Leverkusen logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Serdar (56'), Richter (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Demirbay (49'), Schick (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 53.87%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
23.64% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)22.49% (-0.012 -0.01)53.87% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.08% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)63.48% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.0019999999999953 0)30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)43.92% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 23.64%
    Bayer Leverkusen 53.87%
    Draw 22.48%
Hertha BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 23.64%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.87%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Hertha Berlin
27.1%
Draw
16.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
56.3%
48
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Nov 7, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 21, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 2.30pm