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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Augsburg
0 - 2
Hertha Berlin


Gruezo (31'), Berisha (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukebakio (57'), Richter (90+3')
Uremovic (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Hertha Berlin

With both sides struggling to find the net so far this season, it is hard to envisage too many goals between two teams short on confidence. However, Hertha have looked a more balanced outfit during the early weeks of Schwarz's tenure, and we can see them edging a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawHertha Berlin
33.92% (0.211 0.21) 26.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 39.49% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)52.88% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.282 -0.28)74.49% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)29.51% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)65.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.313 -0.31)26.22% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.425 -0.42)61.33% (0.427 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 33.92%
    Hertha Berlin 39.49%
    Draw 26.58%
AugsburgDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.115 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Hertha Berlin

Augsburg
37.5%
Draw
30.4%
Hertha Berlin
32.1%
56
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-1
Hertha Berlin

Oxford (26'), Gumny (51'), Framberger (90'), Gouweleeuw (90+6')
Serdar (49')
Selke (26'), Boateng (29'), Boyata (34'), Richter (64')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Augsburg
Richter (40')
Richter (42'), Jovetic (90+6')
Gregoritsch (90+7')
Vargas (31'), Hahn (81'), Iago (90+6')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Augsburg
Piatek (62'), Lukebakio (87' pen.)
Stark (45+2'), Lukebakio (72')
Benes (2')
Hahn (26'), Pedersen (49'), Gouweleeuw (80')
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-3
Hertha Berlin

Caligiuri (18'), Gouweleeuw (38'), Gruezo (66')
Cunha (44' pen.), Lukebakio (52'), Piatek (86')
May 30, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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