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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Augsburg logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Augsburg

Geiger (39')
Promel (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bauer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
60.56% (-0.235 -0.23)20.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.53% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.395 0.4)40.65% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (0.403 0.4)63.03% (-0.405 -0.41)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)13% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (0.113 0.11)39.53% (-0.114 -0.11)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (0.488 0.49)35.5% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (0.504 0.5)72.26% (-0.505 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 60.56%
    Augsburg 18.53%
    Draw 20.9%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Augsburg

Hoffenheim
79.6%
Draw
10.2%
Augsburg
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Vargas (8'), Hahn (23')
Hahn (90+1')
Skov (86')
Samassekou (37')
Dec 7, 2020 7.30pm
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm