Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.