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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Augsburg | 3 | -4 | 3 |
11 | RB Leipzig | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
60.56% ( -0.23) | 20.9% ( -0) | 18.53% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( 0.4) | 40.65% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.97% ( 0.4) | 63.03% ( -0.41) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.99% ( 0.06) | 13% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.46% ( 0.11) | 39.53% ( -0.11) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( 0.49) | 35.5% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% ( 0.5) | 72.26% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 18.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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