MX23RW : Saturday, August 20 06:18:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at WWK Arena
Augsburg
0 - 4
Freiburg
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg

Not known for being particularly prolific, Augsburg may need to score more than once if they are to get anything from a tough opening match against upwardly mobile opponents. Given Freiburg's recent supremacy in this fixture, too, the visitors are set to start off with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
29.16% (-0.144 -0.14) 25.11% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 45.73% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)48.38% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)70.52% (0.053000000000011 0.05)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.131 -0.13)30.48% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.157 -0.16)66.69% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.045999999999992 0.05)21.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (0.069000000000003 0.07)54.05% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 29.16%
    Freiburg 45.72%
    Draw 25.11%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.72%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

Augsburg
21.3%
Draw
12.8%
Freiburg
66.0%
47
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
Freiburg
Max (38')
Baier (50'), Richter (55'), Gouweleeuw (80'), Khedira (88')
Haberer (51')
Abrashi (59')
rhs 2.0
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