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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Freiburg logo

Augsburg
0 - 4
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg

Not known for being particularly prolific, Augsburg may need to score more than once if they are to get anything from a tough opening match against upwardly mobile opponents. Given Freiburg's recent supremacy in this fixture, too, the visitors are set to start off with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
29.16% (-0.144 -0.14) 25.11% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 45.73% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)48.38% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)70.52% (0.053000000000011 0.05)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.131 -0.13)30.48% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.157 -0.16)66.69% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.045999999999992 0.05)21.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (0.069000000000003 0.07)54.05% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 29.16%
    Freiburg 45.72%
    Draw 25.11%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.72%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

Augsburg
21.3%
Draw
12.8%
Freiburg
66.0%
47
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
Freiburg
Max (38')
Baier (50'), Richter (55'), Gouweleeuw (80'), Khedira (88')
Haberer (51')
Abrashi (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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