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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 34.13% | 24.91% | 40.96% |
| Both teams to score 57.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% | 45.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% | 67.95% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% | 25.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% | 60.85% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% | 22.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% | 55.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.13% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.96% |